Men - Women
Tournament Championship Summary
2011 - 2012 - 2013



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.


RankSchool Regional ChampionTop 5Top 10Top 20Advance to Nationals
1 Oklahoma State Midwest 77.2% 99.0% 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
2 Colorado Mountain 11.5% 81.5% 96.6% 99.9% 100.0%
3 Wisconsin Great Lakes 2.0% 63.8% 93.9% 99.8% 100.0%
4 Texas South Central 2.4% 52.5% 84.7% 98.8% 100.0%
5 Oklahoma Midwest 4.0% 60.0% 89.3% 99.4% 99.9%
6 Northern Arizona Mountain 1.2% 32.6% 70.6% 96.8% 100.0%
7 Virginia Southeast 0.1% 7.4% 34.2% 76.9% 85.5%
8 Arkansas South Central 0.0% 12.0% 52.1% 93.8% 100.0%
9 BYU Mountain 0.6% 26.9% 68.6% 96.1% 99.5%
10 Stanford West 0.5% 19.4% 56.1% 92.7% 99.5%
11 Iona Northeast 1.2% 10.8% 60.5% 98.1%
12 Tulsa Midwest 0.2% 15.4% 52.4% 91.7% 98.8%
13 Eastern Kentucky Southeast 0.1% 6.9% 35.3% 86.6% 99.0%
14 Florida State South 0.1% 7.9% 35.5% 85.9% 100.0%
15 Portland West 0.0% 2.0% 15.6% 65.1% 94.1%
16 Syracuse Northeast 2.9% 17.9% 66.8% 99.7%
17 Michigan Great Lakes 1.7% 14.7% 63.9% 99.8%
18 New Mexico Mountain 1.5% 10.9% 55.7% 99.1%
19 UCLA West 1.0% 10.0% 54.0% 87.1%
20 Indiana Great Lakes 0.2% 6.4% 56.8% 99.3%
21 Princeton Mid-Atlantic 1.3% 10.8% 56.7% 100.0%
22 Columbia Northeast 1.1% 10.0% 53.5% 98.4%
23 Oregon West 0.0% 0.8% 7.7% 51.0% 87.7%
24 Notre Dame Great Lakes 0.2% 6.6% 90.9%
25 North Carolina St. Southeast 0.1% 1.7% 21.5% 42.3%
26 Virginia Tech Southeast 0.1% 1.4% 20.6% 63.9%
27 Texas A&M South Central 0.0% 0.2% 14.0% 71.3%
28 Georgetown Mid-Atlantic 0.3% 3.8% 32.7% 82.0%
29 Georgia South 0.2% 2.4% 22.8% 99.7%
30 Arizona West 0.0%
31 Arizona State West 0.2% 2.1% 18.9% 59.7%
32 Villanova Mid-Atlantic 0.3% 6.3% 38.0%
33 Iowa State Midwest 0.1% 1.7% 18.4% 63.6%
34 Illinois Midwest 0.2% 4.0% 19.7%
35 Washington West 0.5% 5.4% 24.5%
36 Kansas Midwest 0.1% 0.6% 11.5% 53.1%
37 Missouri Midwest 0.2% 4.1% 21.0%
38 Minnesota Midwest 0.1% 0.5% 5.1% 28.2%
39 McNeese State South Central 0.4% 7.8%
40 UTEP Mountain
41 Dartmouth Northeast 1.9% 15.7%
42 Duke Southeast 1.3% 18.2%
43 William and Mary Southeast 0.3% 2.7%
44 Cal Poly West 0.4% 5.3%
45 Texas Tech Mountain 0.0%
46 Washington St. West 0.0% 0.4% 4.9%
47 UNC-Greensboro Southeast
48 Weber State Mountain 0.0% 1.2%
49 Louisville Southeast 0.1% 0.7%
50 Florida South 0.0% 0.4% 12.6%
51 Eastern Michigan Great Lakes 2.2%
52 Harvard Northeast 0.1% 2.0%
53 Providence Northeast 0.1% 2.4%
54 Southern Utah Mountain 0.0% 0.3%
55 North Carolina Southeast 0.1% 1.1%
56 Air Force Mountain 0.0% 0.0% 1.3%
57 Michigan State Great Lakes 0.1% 11.3%
58 Boise State West 0.1% 0.6%
59 Utah Valley Mountain
60 Indiana State Great Lakes 0.1%
61 Purdue Great Lakes 0.3%
62 Ohio State Great Lakes 2.4%
63 Cornell Northeast 0.0% 0.2%
64 Penn State Mid-Atlantic 0.0% 1.3%
65 Lamar South Central
66 Colorado St. Mountain 0.1%
67 South Dakota St. Midwest
68 Butler Great Lakes 0.0% 1.4%
69 George Mason Southeast
70 Liberty Southeast
71 Kentucky Southeast
72 Southern Illinois Midwest 0.0%
73 Tennessee South
74 Temple Mid-Atlantic
75 San Francisco West 0.0%
76 Miami (Ohio) Great Lakes 0.0%
77 UC Santa Barbara West 0.0%
78 Yale Northeast 0.0%
79 USC Upstate Southeast
80 Navy Mid-Atlantic 0.0%
81 Lehigh Mid-Atlantic 0.0%
82 Montana State Mountain
83 California West
84 La Salle Mid-Atlantic
85 American Mid-Atlantic 0.1%
86 Boston U. Northeast
87 Central Arkansas South Central
88 Gonzaga West
89 Wake Forest Southeast
90 Seattle U. West
91 Duquesne Mid-Atlantic
92 Stephen F. Austin South Central
93 Utah State Mountain
94 Texas A&M-CC South Central
95 St. Joseph's (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
96 Central Michigan Great Lakes
97 South Dakota Midwest
98 Loyola Marymount West
99 Iowa Midwest
100 Rice South Central
101 UC Davis West
102 Cincinnati Great Lakes
103 Wyoming Mountain
104 Loyola (Ill.) Midwest
105 Texas-Arlington South Central
106 Boston College Northeast
107 St. Mary's (Cal.) West
108 Auburn South
109 Stony Brook Northeast
110 Western Kentucky Southeast
111 Clemson Southeast
112 High Point Southeast
113 Kent State Great Lakes
114 UMKC Midwest
115 Chattanooga South
116 Xavier (Ohio) Great Lakes
117 Bucknell Mid-Atlantic
118 Furman Southeast
119 Florida A&M South
120 Sacramento St. West
121 Akron Great Lakes
122 Brown Northeast
123 Appalachian State Southeast
124 East Tenn. St. South
125 Colgate Northeast
126 Kennesaw State South
127 Penn Mid-Atlantic
128 Davidson Southeast
129 Wichita State Midwest
130 UC Irvine West
131 Eastern Illinois Midwest
132 Drake Midwest
133 Santa Clara West
134 UC Riverside West
135 Marquette Great Lakes
136 UMass Amherst Northeast
137 Idaho West
138 Army Northeast
139 Buffalo Northeast
140 Georgia Tech South
141 Fresno State West
142 Miss State South
143 Memphis South
144 Richmond Southeast
145 New Mexico St. Mountain
146 UTSA South Central
147 Idaho State Mountain
148 Northern Iowa Midwest
149 Va. Military Institute Southeast
150 Marist Northeast
151 Toledo Great Lakes
152 Albany Northeast
153 Dayton Great Lakes
154 New Hampshire Northeast
155 IUPUI Great Lakes
156 Mid. Tenn. State South
157 Houston South Central
158 Arkansas-Little Rock South Central
159 Ohio U. Great Lakes
160 Fordham Northeast
161 Rider Mid-Atlantic
162 Connecticut Northeast
163 Saint Louis Midwest
164 Long Beach St. West
165 UMBC Mid-Atlantic
166 Nebraska Midwest
167 Campbell Southeast
168 Western Illinois Midwest
169 Canisius Northeast
170 North Texas South Central
171 Central Connecticut Northeast
172 Northeastern Northeast
173 SE Missouri Midwest
174 Montana Mountain
175 Baylor South Central
176 Western Carolina Southeast
177 Maine Northeast
178 Bradley Midwest
179 Elon Southeast
180 VCU Southeast
181 Mississippi South
182 Marshall Mid-Atlantic
183 DePaul Midwest
184 Quinnipiac Northeast
185 Evansville Great Lakes
186 Belmont South
187 Vermont Northeast
188 Alabama South
189 Fairfield Northeast
190 Morehead State Southeast
191 South Alabama South
192 Illinois-Chicago Midwest
193 Binghamton Northeast
194 Monmouth Mid-Atlantic
195 Sam Houston St. South Central
196 Samford South
197 Illinois State Midwest
198 Norfolk State Southeast
199 Mercer South
200 Kansas State Midwest
201 Charlotte Southeast
202 Sacred Heart Northeast
203 Howard Mid-Atlantic
204 Florida Gulf Coast South
205 Pittsburgh Mid-Atlantic
206 Oakland Great Lakes
207 Wis.-Milwaukee Great Lakes
208 St. Francis (N.Y.) Northeast
209 North Dakota St. Midwest
210 Miami South
211 Wright State Great Lakes
212 North Dakota Midwest
213 Rutgers Mid-Atlantic
214 George Washington Mid-Atlantic
215 Cal St. Fullerton West
216 Lipscomb South
217 Vanderbilt South
218 Georgia State South
219 North Florida South
220 Hartford Northeast
221 San Diego West
222 UL-Lafayette South Central
223 Winthrop Southeast
224 UNC-Asheville Southeast
225 Holy Cross Northeast
226 Siena Northeast
227 New Jersey Institute Mid-Atlantic
228 East Carolina Southeast
229 Radford Southeast
230 Mount St. Mary's Mid-Atlantic
231 Citadel Southeast
232 TCU South Central
233 LSU South Central
234 Wagner Northeast
235 South Florida South
236 Coastal Carolina Southeast
237 Manhattan Northeast
238 Valparaiso Great Lakes
239 UNC-Wilmington Southeast
240 Bowling Green Great Lakes
241 Longwood Southeast
242 Col. of Charleston Southeast
243 Texas-Pan American South Central
244 Mississippi Valley South
245 Rhode Island Northeast
246 Tennessee Tech South
247 Bryant Northeast
248 Creighton Midwest
249 Prairie View South Central
250 Arkansas State South Central
251 SIU-Edwardsville Midwest
252 UL-Monroe South Central
253 Houston Baptist South Central
254 St. Francis (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
255 Robert Morris Mid-Atlantic
256 Lafayette Mid-Atlantic
257 Youngstown St. Great Lakes
258 Florida Atlantic South
259 Jacksonville St. South
260 Cal St. Northridge West
261 Northern Colorado Mountain
262 Oral Roberts Midwest
263 Tennessee-Martin South
264 Northwestern St. South Central
265 Louisiana Tech South Central
266 Seton Hall Mid-Atlantic
267 SE Louisiana South Central
268 Wofford Southeast
269 Texas Southern South Central
270 Niagara Northeast
271 Tulane South Central
272 Troy South
273 San Jose St. West
274 St. Bonaventure Northeast
275 IPFW Great Lakes
276 Eastern Washington West
277 Grambling South Central
278 Loyola (Md.) Mid-Atlantic
279 Austin Peay South
280 Portland State West
281 Fairleigh Dickinson Mid-Atlantic
282 Murray State Southeast
283 South Carolina St. Southeast
284 Wis.-Green Bay Great Lakes
285 Gardner-Webb Southeast
286 Texas State South Central
287 St. Peter's Mid-Atlantic
288 N. Carolina A&T Southeast
289 Savannah State South
290 Pepperdine West
291 Hampton Southeast
292 Morgan State Mid-Atlantic
293 Stetson South
294 Alabama State South
295 Florida Int'l South
296 Charleston Southern Southeast
297 Coppin State Mid-Atlantic
298 Maryland-Eastern Shore Mid-Atlantic
299 Bethune-Cookman South
300 Delaware State Mid-Atlantic
301 Jacksonville South
302 Alcorn State South
303 Arkansas-Pine Bluff South Central
304 Presbyterian Southeast
305 Tennessee St. South
306 Nicholls State South Central
307 Hofstra Northeast
308 Jackson State South
309 Southern South Central
310 N.C. Central Southeast
311 Chicago State Midwest
312 100.0%
313 100.0%
314 100.0%
315 100.0%
316 100.0%
317 100.0%
318 100.0%
319 100.0%
320 100.0%
321 100.0%
322 100.0%
323 100.0%
324 100.0%
325 100.0%
326 100.0%
327 100.0%
328 100.0%
329 100.0%
330 100.0%
331 100.0%
332 100.0%
333 100.0%
334 100.0%
335 100.0%
336 100.0%
337 100.0%
338 100.0%
339 100.0%
340 100.0%
341 100.0%
342 100.0%
343 100.0%
344 100.0%
345 100.0%
346 100.0%
347 100.0%
348 100.0%
349 100.0%
350 100.0%
351 100.0%
352 100.0%
353 100.0%
354 100.0%
355 100.0%
356 100.0%
357 100.0%
358 100.0%
359 100.0%
360 100.0%
361 100.0%
362 100.0%
363 100.0%
364 100.0%
365 100.0%
366 100.0%
367 100.0%
368 100.0%
369 100.0%
370 100.0%
371 100.0%
372 100.0%
373 100.0%
374 100.0%
375 100.0%
376 100.0%
377 100.0%
378 100.0%
379 100.0%
380 100.0%
381 100.0%
382 100.0%
383 100.0%
384 100.0%
385 100.0%
386 100.0%
387 100.0%
388 100.0%
389 100.0%
390 100.0%
391 100.0%
392 100.0%
393 100.0%
394 100.0%
395 100.0%
396 100.0%
397 100.0%
398 100.0%
399 100.0%
400 100.0%